Distributions of historic market data - stock returns

被引:1
|
作者
Liu, Zhiyuan [1 ]
Moghaddam, M. Dashti [1 ]
Serota, R. A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cincinnati, Dept Phys, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA
来源
EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL B | 2019年 / 92卷 / 03期
关键词
Statistical and Nonlinear Physics; STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY; FINANCIAL-MARKETS; OPTIONS; MODELS;
D O I
10.1140/epjb/e2019-90218-8
中图分类号
O469 [凝聚态物理学];
学科分类号
070205 ;
摘要
We show that the moments of the distribution of historic stock returns are in excellent agreement with the Heston model and not with the multiplicative model, which predicts power-law tails of volatility and stock returns. We also show that the mean realized variance of returns is a linear function of the number of days over which the returns are calculated. The slope is determined by the mean value of the variance (squared volatility) in the mean-reverting stochastic volatility models, such as Heston and multiplicative, independent of stochasticity. The distribution function of stock returns, which rescales with the increase of the number of days of return, is obtained from the steady-state variance distribution function using the product distribution with the normal distribution.
引用
收藏
页数:10
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