Assessment of Sectoral Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Potentials for 2030

被引：2
|
作者：
Blok, Kornelis [1 ]
Afanador, Angelica [2 ]
van der Hoorn, Irina [3 ]
Berg, Tom [3 ]
Edelenbosch, Oreane Y. [4 ,5 ]
van Vuuren, Detlef P. [5 ,6 ]
机构：
[1] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Technol Policy & Management, Jaffalaan 5, NL-2628 BX Delft, Netherlands
[2] Navigant, Wassermann 36, D-50829 Cologne, Germany
[3] Navigant, Stadsplateau 15, NL-3521 AZ Utrecht, Netherlands
[4] Politecn Milan, Dept Management & Econ, 1 Via Lambruschini 4-B, I-20156 Milan, Italy
[5] PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, Bezuidenhoutseweg 30, NL-2594 AV The Hague, Netherlands
[6] Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Princetonlaan 8a, NL-3584 CB Utrecht, Netherlands
来源：
ENERGIES | 2020年 / 13卷 / 04期
关键词：
emission reduction potential; emissions gap; energy production and conversion; sectoral analysis; bottom-up analysis; CO2; EMISSIONS; MITIGATION; SCENARIOS; PHOTOVOLTAICS; TRANSITION; CCS;
D O I：
10.3390/en13040943
中图分类号：
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号：
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要：
The aim of this article is to provide an overview of greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials for 2030 based on the assessment of detailed sectoral studies. The overview updates a previous assessment that dates back more than ten years. We find a total emission reduction potential of 30-36 GtCO(2)e compared to a current-policies baseline of 61 GtCO(2)e. The energy production and conversion sector is responsible for about one third of this potential and the agriculture, buildings, forestry, industry, and transport sectors all contribute substantially to the total potential. The potential for 2030 is enough to bridge the gap towards emissions pathways that are compatible with a maximum global temperature rise of 1.5-2 degrees C compared to preindustrial levels.
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页数：24
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