Hybrid Modeling of Ebola Propagation

被引:0
|
作者
Tanade, Cyrus [1 ]
Pate, Nathanael [2 ]
Paljug, Elianna [2 ]
Hoffman, Ryan A. [2 ]
Wang, May D. [2 ]
机构
[1] UCL, Dept Med Phys & Biomed Engn, London, England
[2] Georgia Inst Technol, Dept Biomed Engn, Atlanta, GA 30332 USA
关键词
Ebola outbreak; agent-based modeling; compartmental modeling; VIRUS DISEASE; DYNAMICS; TRANSMISSION; OUTBREAK;
D O I
10.1109/BIBE.2019.00044
中图分类号
R318 [生物医学工程];
学科分类号
0831 ;
摘要
The Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic that occurred in West Africa between 2014-16 resulted in over 28,000 cases and 11,000 deaths - one of the deadliest to date. A generalized model of the spatiotemporal progression of EVD for Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone in 2014-16 remains elusive. There is also a disconnect in the literature on which interventions are most effective in curbing disease progression. To solve these two key issues, we designed a hybrid agent-based and compartmental model that switches from one paradigm to the other on a stochastic threshold. We modeled disease progression with promising accuracy using WHO datasets.
引用
收藏
页码:204 / 210
页数:7
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