A,Multiagent approach to Q-learning for daily stock trading

被引:70
|
作者
Lee, Jae Won
Park, Jonghun [1 ]
O, Jangmin
Lee, Jongwoo
Hong, Euyseok
机构
[1] Seoul Natl Univ, Dept Ind Engn, Seoul 151742, South Korea
[2] Sungshin Womens Univ, Sch Comp Sci & Engn, Seoul 136742, South Korea
[3] Seoul Natl Univ, Sch Engn & Comp Sci, Seoul 151742, South Korea
[4] Sookmyung Womens Univ, Dept Multimedia Sci, Seoul 140742, South Korea
关键词
financial prediction; intelligent multiagent systems; portfolio management; Q-learning; stock trading;
D O I
10.1109/TSMCA.2007.904825
中图分类号
TP3 [计算技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
The portfolio management for trading in the stock market poses a challenging stochastic control problem of significant commercial interests to finance industry. To date, many researchers have proposed various methods to build an intelligent portfolio management system that can recommend financial decisions for daily stock trading. Many promising results have been reported from the supervised learning community on the possibility of building a profitable trading system. More recently, several studies have shown that even the problem of integrating stock price prediction results with trading strategies can be successfully addressed by applying reinforcement learning algorithms. Motivated by this, we present a new stock trading framework that attempts to further enhance the performance of reinforcement learning-based systems. The proposed approach incorporates multiple Q-learning agents, allowing them to effectively divide and conquer the stock trading problem by defining necessary roles for cooperatively carrying out stock pricing and selection decisions. Furthermore, in an attempt to address the complexity issue when considering a large amount of data to obtain long-term dependence among the stock prices, we present a representation scheme that can succinctly summarize the history of price changes. Experimental results on a Korean stock market show that the proposed trading framework outperforms those trained by other alternative approaches both in terms of profit and risk management.
引用
收藏
页码:864 / 877
页数:14
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