Local power of panel unit root tests allowing for structural breaks

被引:11
|
作者
Karavias, Yiannis [1 ,2 ]
Tzavalis, Elias [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Nottingham, Sch Econ, Univ Pk, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England
[2] Univ Nottingham, Granger Ctr Time Series Econometr, Univ Pk, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England
[3] Athens Univ Econ & Business, Dept Econ, Athens, Greece
关键词
Bias correction; cross-section correlation; fixed T; incidental trends; Strong factors; C22; C23; TIME DIMENSION; INFERENCE; STATIONARITY; MODELS; TRENDS;
D O I
10.1080/07474938.2015.1059722
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The asymptotic local power of least squares-based fixed-T panel unit root tests allowing for a structural break in their individual effects and/or incidental trends of the AR(1) panel data model is studied. Limiting distributions of these tests are derived under a sequence of local alternatives, and analytic expressions show how their means and variances are functions of the break date and the time dimension of the panel. The considered tests have nontrivial local power in a N-1/2 neighborhood of unity when the panel data model includes individual intercepts. For panel data models with incidental trends, the power of the tests becomes trivial in this neighborhood. However, this problem does not always appear if the tests allow for serial correlation in the error term and completely vanishes in the presence of cross-section correlation. These results show that fixed-T tests have very different theoretical properties than their large-T counterparts. Monte Carlo experiments demonstrate the usefulness of the asymptotic theory in small samples.
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页码:1123 / 1156
页数:34
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