Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts

被引:14
|
作者
Zhou, Wei-Xing [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Mu, Guo-Hua [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Chen, Wei [4 ]
Sornette, Didier [5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] E China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[2] E China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Sci, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[3] E China Univ Sci & Technol, Res Ctr Econophys, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[4] Shenzhen Stock Exchange, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
[5] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Management Technol & Econ, Zurich, Switzerland
[6] Univ Geneva, Swiss Finance Inst, Geneva, Switzerland
来源
PLOS ONE | 2011年 / 6卷 / 09期
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
LIMIT-ORDER BOOK; ZERO-INTELLIGENCE; OVERCONFIDENCE; ILLUSION; ECOLOGY; SYSTEMS; TRADERS; LUCK;
D O I
10.1371/journal.pone.0024391
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We propose a new set of stylized facts quantifying the structure of financial markets. The key idea is to study the combined structure of both investment strategies and prices in order to open a qualitatively new level of understanding of financial and economic markets. We study the detailed order flow on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China for the whole year of 2003. This enormous dataset allows us to compare (i) a closed national market (A-shares) with an international market (B-shares), (ii) individuals and institutions, and (iii) real traders to random strategies with respect to timing that share otherwise all other characteristics. We find in general that more trading results in smaller net return due to trading frictions, with the exception that the net return is independent of the trading frequency for A-share individual traders. We unveiled quantitative power laws with non-trivial exponents, that quantify the deterioration of performance with frequency and with holding period of the strategies used by traders. Random strategies are found to perform much better than real ones, both for winners and losers. Surprising large arbitrage opportunities exist, especially when using zero-intelligence strategies. This is a diagnostic of possible inefficiencies of these financial markets.
引用
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页数:9
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