Multifractal analysis of the drought area in seven large regions of China from 1961 to 2012

被引:35
|
作者
Hou, Wei [1 ]
Feng, Guolin [2 ]
Yan, Pengcheng [3 ]
Li, Shuping [3 ]
机构
[1] China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
[2] Yangzhou Univ, Coll Phys Sci & Technol, Yangzhou 225002, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[3] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
DETRENDED FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS; STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX; STOCK-MARKET; TIME-SERIES; RIVER-BASIN; YANGTZE DELTA; PEARL RIVER; PREDICTABILITY; PREDICTION; TRENDS;
D O I
10.1007/s00703-017-0530-0
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Based on a monthly drought index, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), we investigate the multifractality of monthly drought areas in seven major regions in China from 1961 to 2012 using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis. The results show that multifractality is evident in the monthly time series for all seven regions, but its strength varies between areas. From the numerical results, we further examine the stationarity and persistence of the time series in the seven drought areas. The characteristics of the variance of big and small fluctuations are also analyzed. The characteristics of multifractal spectra are used to distinguish the features of the singularity of all the data, as well as the large and small fluctuations and the spread of the changes of fractal patterns, and so on, in the monthly drought area time series for the different regions. Finally, we investigate the possible source(s) of multifractality in the drought series by random shuffling as well as surrogating the original series for each region.
引用
收藏
页码:459 / 471
页数:13
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