A classical way forward for the regularity and normalization problems

被引:1
|
作者
Pruss, Alexander R. [1 ]
机构
[1] Baylor Univ, 1 Bear Pl 97273, Waco, TX 76798 USA
关键词
Probability; Symmetry; Regularity; Normalization; Fine-tuning; Set theory; Definability; Language; SET; CONGLOMERABILITY; PROBABILITIES;
D O I
10.1007/s11229-021-03311-4
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
Bayesian epistemology has struggled with the problem of regularity: how to deal with events that in classical probability have zero probability. While the cases most discussed in the literature, such as infinite sequences of coin tosses or continuous spinners, do not actually come up in scientific practice, there are cases that do come up in science. I shall argue that these cases can be resolved without leaving the realm of classical probability, by choosing a probability measure that preserves "enough" regularity. This approach also provides a resolution to the McGrew, McGrew and Vestrum normalization problem for the fine-tuning argument.
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页码:11769 / 11792
页数:24
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