Demand Forecast of the Logistic Park Based on the Curve of Growth Theory

被引:0
|
作者
Wang, Fuhua [1 ]
机构
[1] Shandong Univ Finance, Sch Management, Jinan, Peoples R China
关键词
Curve of growth theory; Demand of logistic park; Forecast; Logistic Curve;
D O I
10.1109/ICICISYS.2009.5358233
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
According to current logistics forecast research both at home and abroad, regression analysis and exponential smoothing are of easy computation but unsatisfactory computational accuracy Gray forecast, grey Markov model and neural network etc are of high computational accuracy but the course of computation is comparatively complicated Herein, I introduce the curve of growth theory, a new quantitative method, to make demand forecast of the logistics parks High-computation accuracy can be obtained through rather simple computation After analysis to application of the forecasting model of Logistic Curse in logistic demand forecast is made, it has been brought forward that growth variation of the logistic park is in accordance with the Logistic Curse Therefore, it is feasible to make demand forecast of the logistic park with Logistic Curve model, which has also been verified by computation examples Finally, objective evaluation on application of Logistic Curve in demand forecast of logistic park was made in the text
引用
收藏
页码:57 / 61
页数:5
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