Scenario planning meets frame analysis: Using citizens' frames as test conditions for policy measures

被引:6
|
作者
van Wijck, Peter [1 ]
Niemeijer, Bert [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Leiden Univ, Dept Econ, Leiden Law Sch, Steenschuur 25, NL-2311 ES Leiden, Netherlands
[2] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Fac Law, De Boelelaan 1105, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands
[3] Acad Legislat, Lange Voorhout 62, NL-2514 EH The Hague, Netherlands
关键词
Scenario planning; Frame analysis; Wind tunnelling; Policy; STRATEGY; FUTURE;
D O I
10.1016/j.futures.2016.01.005
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Policy-makers expect that policy measures will lead to specific results. Generally, not all citizens respond as expected. One of the potential reasons is that citizens' frames do not always align with the policy frame. Combining insights from the literature on frame analysis and scenario planning, especially the idea of wind tunnelling, this paper presents a conceptual framework in which citizens' frames are used as test conditions for policy measures. The framework consists of three steps: the reconstruction of a policy frame, the reconstruction of contrasting citizens' frames and wind tunnelling. We studied two cases in the justice domain. The results indicate that the framework induces policy-makers to look beyond the official policy frame, to anticipate diverse reactions to policy measures, and to consider a broader set of policy options. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码:28 / 44
页数:17
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