共 4 条
President Obama on the ballot: Referendum voting and racial spillover in the 2014 midterm elections
被引:12
|作者:
Luttig, Matthew D.
[1
]
Motta, Matthew
[2
]
机构:
[1] Colgate Univ, Hamilton, NY 13346 USA
[2] Univ Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN USA
来源:
关键词:
Elections;
Voting behavior;
Congress;
Racial priming;
Barack Obama;
US;
ATTITUDES;
POLITICS;
DETERMINANTS;
PARTISANSHIP;
PREJUDICE;
DECLINE;
CHOICE;
IMPACT;
RACE;
D O I:
10.1016/j.electstud.2017.09.009
中图分类号:
D0 [政治学、政治理论];
学科分类号:
0302 ;
030201 ;
摘要:
The 2014 elections were widely viewed as a referendum on the presidency of Barack Obama. Republicans ran against the incumbent president, and many view the Republican Party's victories in 2014 as a mass rejection of President Obama's policies. We argue that this account of the 2014 elections is incomplete. We advance the theory of racial spillover that associating an attitude object with President Obama causes public opinion to polarize on the basis of racial attitudes to explain both vote choice and referendum voting in the 2014 elections. In an analysis of the CCES and an original survey, we show that congressional vote choice was strongly racialized in 2014. We go on to show that perceptions of the election as a referendum on President Obama were also racialized, and that these perceptions mediated the link between racial animus and 2014 congressional vote choice. This represents the first study to show that racialized congressional evaluations continued into 2014 and we provide direct evidence that attitudes about President Obama mediated the effect of racial animus on congressional vote choice. We conclude by discussing the implications for referendum voting, racial spillover, and the 2014 midterm elections. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码:80 / 90
页数:11
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