Voyage estimate and decision-making on the tramp operation

被引:0
|
作者
Yang, HL [1 ]
Yang, PJ [1 ]
机构
[1] Dalian Maritime Univ, Shipping Management Coll, Dalian 116026, Peoples R China
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D O I
暂无
中图分类号
U [交通运输];
学科分类号
08 ; 0823 ;
摘要
This paper points out the problems in existing voyage estimate on a tramp operation. By lots of statistics and investigation works, it analyzes the probability of winds within a certain sailing area as well as its influence over a vessel's voyage. The probability distribution of a vessel encountering winds k times in a voyage are testified and the expected per day net revenue value of a voyage is calculated. Then, the payer further puts forward the decision-making problems in a vessel's voyage and analyzes its main influencing factors. Thus, the hierarchy structure and its judgement matrix are established and lead to the adoption of the AHP method on a vessel's voyage. The results of real examples prove to be reliable and realistic.
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页码:705 / 709
页数:5
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