Intra-daily volatility spillovers in international stock markets

被引:34
|
作者
Golosnoy, Vasyl [1 ]
Gribisch, Bastian [2 ]
Liesenfeld, Roman [2 ]
机构
[1] Ruhr Univ Bochum, D-44780 Bochum, Germany
[2] Univ Cologne, Cologne, Germany
关键词
Conditional autoregressive Wishart model; Impulse response analysis; Observation-driven models; Realized covariance matrix; Subprime crisis; Volatility contagion; TRANSMISSION; PRICE; CONTAGION; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.01.002
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Using a novel four-phase model based upon a conditional autoregressive Wishart framework for realized variances and covariances we quantify intra-daily volatility spillovers within and across the US, German and Japanese stock markets before and during the subprime crisis. We find significant short-term spillovers from one stock market to the next-trading market, which have substantially intensified during the crisis indicating a global volatility contagion coming from the US market. The strongest contagion with the largest burst of spillover effects from and to foreign markets is observed for the Japanese market, which was prior to the crisis fairly uncoupled from the German and US market. We also find that the crisis leads to a significant reduction of the general persistence of volatility shocks in international stock markets. Hence, it appears that during the turmoil of the crisis news generating volatility become outdated more quickly than before the crisis. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码:95 / 114
页数:20
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