A logistic model of the effects of roadway, environmental, vehicle, crash and driver characteristics on hit-and-run crashes

被引:86
|
作者
Tay, Richard [1 ]
Rifaat, Shakil Mohammad [1 ]
Chin, Hoong Chor [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calgary, Dept Civil Engn, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada
[2] Natl Univ Singapore, Dept Civil Engn, Singapore 119260, Singapore
来源
ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION | 2008年 / 40卷 / 04期
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
hit-and-run; logistic model; Singapore;
D O I
10.1016/j.aap.2008.02.003
中图分类号
TB18 [人体工程学];
学科分类号
1201 ;
摘要
Leaving the scene of a crash without reporting it is an offence in most countries and many studies have been devoted to improving ways to identify hit-and-run vehicles and the drivers involved. However, relatively few studies have been conducted on identifying factors that contribute to the decision to run after the crash. This study identifies the factors that are associated with the likelihood of hit-and-run crashes including driver characteristics, vehicle types, crash characteristics, roadway features and environmental characteristics. Using a logistic regression model to delineate hit-and-run crashes from nonhit-and-run crashes, this study found that drivers were more likely to run when crashes occurred at night, on a bridge and flyover, bend, straight road and near shop houses; involved two vehicles, two-wheel vehicles and vehicles from neighboring countries; and when the driver was a male, minority, and aged between 45 and 69. On the other hand, collisions involving right turn and U-turn maneuvers, and occurring on undivided roads were less likely to be hit-and-run crashes. (c) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1330 / 1336
页数:7
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