Circulating tumor cells may serve as a supplement to RECIST in neoadjuvant chemotherapy of patients with locally advanced breast cancer

Background Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) have been shown to be associated with the response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) and the prognosis of locally advanced breast cancer (LABC) patients. Our study aimed to investigate whether the change of CTC status during NCT could serve as a supplement to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) in the treatment and evaluation of LABC patients. Methods 6 ml of blood samples were collected before NCT, after the first cycle of NCT and after the completion of NCT, respectively. According to the change of CTC number during NCT, the patients were divided into "CTC low-response (low-R)" group and "CTC high-response (high-R)" group. Survival data of each group of patients were obtained through long-term follow-up. Results A total of 35 patients diagnosed with LABC were enrolled. The median follow-up for distant metastasis was 27 months (range 7-36 months). There was no significant difference in distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) between PR/CR group and PD/SD group (P = 0.0914), while CTC low-R group had a worse DMFS than CTC high-R group (P = 0.0199). In PR/CR subgroup, patients with CTC low-R showed a lower DMFS compared with those with CTC high-R (P = 0.0159). However, in PD/SD subgroup, there was no significant difference in DMFS between CTC low-R and CTC high-R group (P = 0.7521). In terms of assessing response to NCT, CTC change or RECIST classification alone had an AUC of 0.533 (95% CI 0.277-0.790) and 0.700 (95% CI 0.611-0.789), respectively. When combining the two, the AUC slightly increased to 0.713 (95% CI 0.532-0.895). Conclusion The change of CTC number during NCT has a potential to serve as a supplement to RECIST in the assessment of NCT efficacy and the prognosis of LABC patients.