Predicting the Trend of Stock Market Index Using the Hybrid Neural Network Based on Multiple Time Scale Feature Learning

被引:41
|
作者
Hao, Yaping [1 ]
Gao, Qiang [1 ]
机构
[1] Beihang Univ, Sch Elect & Informat Engn, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
来源
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL | 2020年 / 10卷 / 11期
关键词
stock market index trend prediction; multiple time scale features; deep learning; convolutional neural network; long short-term memory neural network;
D O I
10.3390/app10113961
中图分类号
O6 [化学];
学科分类号
0703 ;
摘要
In the stock market, predicting the trend of price series is one of the most widely investigated and challenging problems for investors and researchers. There are multiple time scale features in financial time series due to different durations of impact factors and traders' trading behaviors. In this paper, we propose a novel end-to-end hybrid neural network, a model based on multiple time scale feature learning to predict the price trend of the stock market index. Firstly, the hybrid neural network extracts two types of features on different time scales through the first and second layers of the convolutional neural network (CNN), together with the raw daily price series, reflect relatively short-, medium- and long-term features in the price sequence. Secondly, considering time dependencies existing in the three kinds of features, the proposed hybrid neural network leverages three long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks to capture such dependencies, respectively. Finally, fully connected layers are used to learn joint representations for predicting the price trend. The proposed hybrid neural network demonstrates its effectiveness by outperforming benchmark models on the real dataset.
引用
收藏
页数:14
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