Tree rings reveal long-term changes in growth resilience in Southern European riparian forests

The gradual increase in temperature over the last few decades is one of the major consequences of global change. It is also projected that drought frequency and intensity in the Mediterranean region will increase, promoting changes in plant responses to environmental conditions and ultimately species distribution. Studying past growth trends can help understand future impacts of climate change on species-function and predict alterations in how species are distributed. This study sought to evaluate growth trends in riparian tree species to assess both their resistance and resilience responses to, and their complementary strategies in the face of, climatic and hydrological changes. Their supporting ecosystem role in riverine ecosystems and their representativeness in the study region led to the selection of the species Alnus glutinosa (L.) Gaertn. and Fraxinus angustifolia Vahl for this purpose. Yearly growth curves were obtained for coexisting A. glutinosa and F. angustifolia, sampled in 2009 in a riparian forest in a Southern Portuguese river basin. Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) was calculated to select drought events, identified as years of extreme and severe drought combined with adverse river discharge conditions. Temporal trends in Basal Area Increments (BAI) were explored for both species across 1970-2009, particularly during drought years. Tree growth response was associated with long-term SPEI, minimum temperature, rainfall and discharge. Both species presented an increase in BAI until the 1980s, apparently triggered by the rise in minimum temperatures, which lengthened the growing season. However, after the 80's this trend in tree growth has been reversed due to the reduced precipitation associated with increased drought intensity. Similar tree growth responses to drought were observed in both species, but responses to extreme drought events were species-specific. Distinct long-term resilience trends between species suggest that under the current climate change scenario, mesic species (e.g. A. glutinosa) will gradually be replaced by more drought-tolerant species, such as F. angustifolia. Finally, further research should be undertaken to provide information on physiological and anatomical changes of riparian tree species in the Mediterranean region.