FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING IN RUSSIA

Structural approach to economic development represents a radical transformation of the production structure of the economy in terms of increasing the complexity of production and increasing labor productivity. In this regard, the development of the mechanical engineering for the national economy is important in terms of increasing labor productivity through the growth of mechanization and automation of production. This paper provides an overview of the main trends in the development of the mechanical engineering in Russia, including availability of state programs for modernization of the industry. To forecast the parameters of the development of the mechanical engineering market, we use the model of interspecies interaction Lotka-Volterra. Such choice in this study is due to its ability to predict the parameters of interaction between market participants taking into account the change in ownership. The findings of the study show that large-scale projects of public-private partnerships and/or joint joint ventures and foreign enterprises may determine the key trends and main growth directions of industrial enterprises.