Assessment of forecast Vienna Mapping Function 1 for real-time tropospheric delay modeling in GNSS

The accurate modeling of tropospheric path delay is significant for data processing of radio space-geodetic techniques such as Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and Very-Long-Baseline Interferometry (VLBI). The Vienna Mapping Function 1 (VMF1) model, based on continuous update of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), is recommended for this purpose in post-processing. The VMF1 coefficients determined from forecast data of the ECMWF are now readily and freely available. However, little or no implementation of this forecast VMF1 (VMF1-FC) model in real- time GNSS or VLBI applications has occurred. This study investigates the performance of the VMF1-FC model in terms of its three components which are critical for the modeling of tropospheric path delay: the Zenith Hydrostatic Delay (ZHD), the Zenith Wet Delay (ZWD) and mapping functions. All three components are assessed in the context of GNSS Precise Point Positioning (PPP) using 28 global stations over a 70-day period. The Zenith Total Delays (ZTD) derived with the VMF1-FC (implemented in real-time PPP) are shown to agree well with the tropospheric delay product from the Center for Orbit Determination Europe (CODE). Root mean square (RMS) errors associated with these ZTD estimates are < 10 mm at all 28 stations. The results also show that the VMF1- FC model performs better than empirical models such as the widely used Global Pressure and Temperature 2 (GPT2) and GPT2 wet (GPT2w), with smaller RMS errors associated with the ZTD estimates. It is recommended that VMF1-FC be applied for future tropospheric delay modeling in real-time GNSS and VLBI applications.