Data-driven stuck pipe prediction and remedies

被引:7
|
作者
Al Dushaishi, Mohammed F. [1 ]
Abbas, Ahmed K. [2 ]
Alsaba, Mortadha [3 ]
Abbas, Hayder [4 ]
Dawood, Jawad [5 ]
机构
[1] Oklahoma State Univ, Sch Chem Engn, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA
[2] Missouri Univ Sci & Technol, Rolla, MO 65401 USA
[3] Australian Coll Kuwait, Safat 13015, Kuwait
[4] Missan Oil Co, Missan 62001, Iraq
[5] Basra Oil Co, Basra 61001, Iraq
来源
关键词
Stuck pipe; Data mining; Recursive partition; Stuck pipe prediction; Differential sticking; Mechanical sticking;
D O I
10.1016/j.upstre.2020.100024
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Stuck pipe incidents are considered a very common challenge in the drilling phase, which can result in increasing non-productive time. Common recommended practices are used to prevent or reduce the severity of these incidents. The ability to predict these incidents based on some measured parameters has been applied in the industry by using different non-physical techniques such as Artificial Neural Networks. In this work, recursive partition analysis was used to develop classification trees. The data was collected from 385 wells drilled in Southern Iraq in different fields. A total of 1015 data points were collected and divided into three data sets: training, validation, and testing. The main objective of this work is to develop a model that consists of easily adoptable logical conditions that predict stuck pipe events and suggest an appropriate remedy to free the stuck pipe. The developed method was able to predict stuck pipe events with an accuracy of 90% using simple and limited input parameters. For the stuck pipe remedy model, the accuracy of the prediction for freeing the stuck pipe reached 84%. The proposed models for stuck pipe events and remedy predictions provide logical criteria based on simple quantities that can be easily applied in the field.
引用
收藏
页数:9
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Intelligent Prediction of Stuck Pipe Using Combined Data-Driven and Knowledge-Driven Model
    Zhu, Shuo
    Song, Xianzhi
    Zhu, Zhaopeng
    Yao, Xuezhe
    Liu, Muchen
    [J]. APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL, 2022, 12 (10):
  • [2] Data-driven indicators for the detection and prediction of stuck-pipe events in oil&gas drilling operations
    Brankovic, Aida
    Matteucci, Matteo
    Restelli, Marcello
    Ferrarini, Luca
    Piroddi, Luigi
    Spelta, Andrea
    Zausa, Fabrizio
    [J]. UPSTREAM OIL AND GAS TECHNOLOGY, 2021, 7
  • [3] Pipe break prediction based on evolutionary data-driven methods with brief recorded data
    Xu, Qiang
    Chen, Qiuwen
    Li, Weifeng
    Ma, Jinfeng
    [J]. RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 2011, 96 (08) : 942 - 948
  • [4] Data-Driven Prediction of Maximum Settlement in Pipe Piles under Seismic Loads
    Rasheed, Sajjad E.
    Al-Jeznawi, Duaa
    Al-Janabi, Musab Aied Qissab
    Bernardo, Luis Filipe Almeida
    [J]. JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING, 2024, 12 (02)
  • [5] A data-driven approach for pipe deformation prediction based on soil properties and weather conditions
    Shi, Fang
    Peng, Xiang
    Liu, Zheng
    Li, Eric
    Hu, Yafei
    [J]. SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY, 2020, 55
  • [6] Data-Driven Sewer Pipe Data Random Generation and Validation
    Yin, Xianfei
    Bouferguene, Ahmed
    Al-Hussein, Mohamed
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT, 2020, 146 (12)
  • [7] The Development of a Window for Stuck Pipe Prediction
    Shahbazi, K.
    Shahri, M. Pordel
    [J]. PETROLEUM SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2012, 30 (02) : 176 - 192
  • [8] Data-driven nonparametric prediction intervals
    Frey, Jesse
    [J]. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PLANNING AND INFERENCE, 2013, 143 (06) : 1039 - 1048
  • [9] Prediction rigidities for data-driven chemistry
    Chong, Sanggyu
    Bigi, Filippo
    Grasselli, Federico
    Loche, Philip
    Kellner, Matthias
    Ceriotti, Michele
    [J]. FARADAY DISCUSSIONS, 2024,
  • [10] A Data-Driven Approach for Event Prediction
    Yuen, Jenny
    Torralba, Antonio
    [J]. COMPUTER VISION-ECCV 2010, PT II, 2010, 6312 : 707 - 720