Primary elections and electoral outcomes: evidence from the Spanish Socialist Party

被引:0
|
作者
Ciacci, Riccardo [1 ]
Garcia-Hernandez, Ana [2 ,3 ]
Garcia-Hombrados, Jorge [4 ,5 ]
Gismera, Laura [1 ]
Nunez-Partido, Antonio [6 ]
机构
[1] Univ Pontificia Comillas, Fac Econ & Business, Madrid, Spain
[2] Univ Rosario, Bogota, Colombia
[3] Innovat Poverty Act Colombia, Bogota, Colombia
[4] Univ Autonoma Madrid, Dept Econ Theory, Madrid, Spain
[5] Max Planck Inst Demog Res, Madrid, Spain
[6] Univ Pontificia Comillas, Dept Econ & Business Management, Madrid, Spain
来源
关键词
D7; D72; CANDIDATE;
D O I
10.1007/s13209-021-00246-4
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Using a regression discontinuity design and primary elections to select Spanish Socialist Party (PSOE) mayoral candidates as a case study, this paper investigates the causal link between primary elections and electoral outcomes. The results suggest that selecting the PSOE's mayoral candidate through primary elections has no effect on the percentage of votes and total votes received by the PSOE's candidate in local elections, the probability of gaining the mayorship and the local government's stability. On the other hand, the results suggest that PSOE's primary elections result in increased votes for competing political parties to the right of the PSOE and in reduced votes for competing parties to the left of the PSOE.
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页码:363 / 396
页数:34
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