Rank-based change-point analysis for long-range dependent time series

被引:0
|
作者
Betken, Annika [1 ]
Wendler, Martin [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Twente, Fac Elect Engn Math & Comp Sci EEMCS, Enschede, Netherlands
[2] Otto von Guericke Univ, Fac Math, Magdeburg, Germany
关键词
Rank statistic; change; -point; long memory; self; -normalization; subsampling; empirical process; asymptotic relative efficiency; SAMPLING WINDOW METHOD; WEAK-CONVERGENCE; EMPIRICAL PROCESS; TESTS; STATISTICS; ESTIMATORS; VALIDITY;
D O I
10.3150/21-BEJ1416
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider change-point tests based on rank statistics to test for structural changes in long-range dependent ob-servations. Under the hypothesis of stationary time series and under the assumption of a change with decreasing change-point height, the asymptotic distributions of corresponding test statistics are derived. For this, a uniform re-duction principle for the sequential empirical process in a two-parameter Skorohod space equipped with a weighted supremum norm is proved. Moreover, we compare the efficiency of rank tests resulting from the consideration of different score functions. Under Gaussianity, the asymptotic relative efficiency of rank-based tests with respect to the CuSum test is 1, irrespective of the score function. Regarding the practical implementation of rank-based change-point tests, we suggest to combine self-normalized rank statistics with subsampling. The theoretical results are accompanied by simulation studies that, in particular, allow for a comparison of rank tests resulting from dif-ferent score functions. With respect to the finite sample performance of rank-based change-point tests, the Van der Waerden rank test proves to be favorable in a broad range of situations. Finally, we analyze data sets from econ-omy, hydrology, and network traffic monitoring in view of structural changes and compare our results to previous analysis of the data.
引用
收藏
页码:2209 / 2233
页数:25
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