Cross-validation for selecting a model selection procedure

被引:244
|
作者
Zhang, Yongli [1 ]
Yang, Yuhong [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oregon, LundQuist Coll Business, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
[2] Univ Minnesota, Sch Stat, Minneapolis, MN 55455 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Cross-validation; Cross-validation paradox; Data splitting ratio; Adaptive procedure selection; Information criterion; LASSO; MCP; SCAD; VARIABLE SELECTION; ASYMPTOTIC OPTIMALITY; REGRESSION; PREDICTION; SEQUENCES; CRITERIA; INDEX; CP; CL;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.006
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
While there are various model selection methods, an unanswered but important question is how to select one of them for data at hand. The difficulty is due to that the targeted behaviors of the model selection procedures depend heavily on uncheckable or difficult-to-check assumptions on the data generating process. Fortunately, cross-validation (CV) provides a general tool to solve this problem. In this work, results are provided on how to apply CV to consistently choose the best method, yielding new insights and guidance for potentially vast amount of application. In addition, we address several seemingly widely spread misconceptions on CV. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:95 / 112
页数:18
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Linear model selection by cross-validation
    Rao, CR
    Wu, Y
    [J]. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PLANNING AND INFERENCE, 2005, 128 (01) : 231 - 240
  • [2] Robust linear model selection by cross-validation
    Ronchetti, E
    Field, C
    Blanchard, W
    [J]. JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1997, 92 (439) : 1017 - 1023
  • [3] A survey of cross-validation procedures for model selection
    Arlot, Sylvain
    Celisse, Alain
    [J]. STATISTICS SURVEYS, 2010, 4 : 40 - 79
  • [4] MODEL-STRUCTURE SELECTION BY CROSS-VALIDATION
    STOICA, P
    EYKHOFF, P
    JANSSEN, P
    SODERSTROM, T
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTROL, 1986, 43 (06) : 1841 - 1878
  • [5] On Estimating Model in Feature Selection With Cross-Validation
    Qi, Chunxia
    Diao, Jiandong
    Qiu, Like
    [J]. IEEE ACCESS, 2019, 7 : 33454 - 33463
  • [6] MODEL SELECTION VIA MULTIFOLD CROSS-VALIDATION
    ZHANG, P
    [J]. ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 1993, 21 (01): : 299 - 313
  • [7] LINEAR-MODEL SELECTION BY CROSS-VALIDATION
    SHAO, J
    [J]. JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1993, 88 (422) : 486 - 494
  • [8] Cross-validation criteria for SETAR model selection
    De Gooijer, JG
    [J]. JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2001, 22 (03) : 267 - 281
  • [9] GENERALIZED CROSS-VALIDATION FOR COVARIANCE MODEL SELECTION
    MARCOTTE, D
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL GEOLOGY, 1995, 27 (05): : 659 - 672
  • [10] Selecting likelihood weights by cross-validation
    Wang, XG
    Zidek, JV
    [J]. ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 2005, 33 (02): : 463 - 500