Managing construction risk with weather derivatives

被引:5
|
作者
Islip, David [1 ]
Wei, Jason Z. [2 ]
Kwon, Roy H. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Toronto, Dept Mech & Ind Engn, 5 Kings Coll Rd, Toronto, ON, Canada
[2] Univ Toronto Scarborough, Rotman Sch Management, Toronto, ON, Canada
来源
ENGINEERING ECONOMIST | 2021年 / 66卷 / 02期
关键词
MODEL; TEMPERATURE; PRICE; EFFICIENCY; VALUATION; IMPACT; POWER;
D O I
10.1080/0013791X.2020.1733721
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Among construction industry participants, weather has been perceived to be one of the most critical factors impacting project cash-flows. The overall impact of weather on the contractor's project objectives is non-trivial due to construction industry incentive structures and contract specifics. This paper presents a framework that leverages stylized facts from the construction industry to motivate the use of weather derivatives in managing the non-trivial weather impacts. The proposed framework is demonstrated using data provided by a large construction contractor. We show that weather derivative portfolios used for hedging purposes by the contractor can address the contractor's aversion for losses as well as the complicated relationship between weather and construction. Furthermore, weather derivative hedging reduces the contractor's incentive to partake in risk chasing behavior in the face of weather delays and reduces the likelihood of the contractor exploiting other claims channels within the project contract.
引用
收藏
页码:150 / 184
页数:35
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