The global sensitivity analysis of time-dependent processes requires history-aware approaches. We develop for that purpose a variance-based method that leverages the correlation structure of the problems under study and employs surrogate models to accelerate the computations. The errors resulting from fixing unimportant uncertain parameters to their nominal values are analyzed through a priori estimates. We illustrate our approach on a harmonic oscillator example and on a nonlinear dynamic cholera model.
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Northwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Aeronaut, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R ChinaNorthwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Aeronaut, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Yun, Wanying
Lu, Zhenzhou
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Northwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Aeronaut, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R ChinaNorthwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Aeronaut, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Lu, Zhenzhou
Zhang, Kaichao
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Northwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Aeronaut, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R ChinaNorthwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Aeronaut, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Zhang, Kaichao
Jiang, Xian
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Chinese Flight Test Estab, Aircraft Flight Test Technol Inst, Xian 710089, Shaanxi, Peoples R ChinaNorthwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Aeronaut, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Urban Environm, Xiamen 361021, Peoples R China
CSIRO Ecosyst Sci, Urrbrae, SA 5064, AustraliaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Urban Environm, Xiamen 361021, Peoples R China
Song, Xiaodong
Bryan, Brett A.
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CSIRO Ecosyst Sci, Urrbrae, SA 5064, AustraliaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Urban Environm, Xiamen 361021, Peoples R China
Bryan, Brett A.
Paul, Keryn I.
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CSIRO Ecosyst Sci, Canberra, ACT 2601, AustraliaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Urban Environm, Xiamen 361021, Peoples R China
Paul, Keryn I.
Zhao, Gang
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CSIRO Ecosyst Sci, Urrbrae, SA 5064, Australia
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Urban Environm, Xiamen 361021, Peoples R China