Evaluation of osimertinib for advanced non-small cell lung cancer with leptomeningeal metastases: a cost-effectiveness and budget impact analysis

Background Few regimens for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with leptomeningeal metastases (LM) patients exist up to date, most with low efficacy. A retrospective analysis showed that osimertinib significantly improved the overall survival of LM patients by 11.5 months (17.0 vs. 5.5) as compared to no osimertinib treatment. Until now, no pharmacoeconomic evaluation of osimertinib has been performed to determine its feasibility for widespread use in LM patients. Aim This study analyzed the cost-effectiveness of osimertinib in LM of NSCLC from the perspective of the Chinese health care system. Methods Based on a retrospective analysis from the Samsung Medical Center, a Markov model was constructed to estimate the lifetime benefits and costs for LM patients who were treated with osimertinib. The main outcomes were cost, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Sensitivity analyses were performed to verify the robustness of model. A budget impact analysis was conducted to estimate the annual incremental cost of osimertinib treatment. Results Compared with patients who were not treated with osimertinib, the survival time of patients treated with osimertinib was higher by 0.69 (1.24 vs. 0.55) QALYs. The incremental cost was $11,877 ($29,232 vs. $17,355) and the ICER was $17,214/QALY, which was below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $30,867/QALY. Osimertinib treatment will increase national cancer spending by $220 million in the first year and increase to $474 million in the fifth year. Conclusions Osimertinib treatment is deemed to be cost-effective for NSCLC with LM patients, however, its use would significantly increase annual cancer spending.