Classification and regression tree, principal components analysis and multiple linear regression to summarize data and understand travel behavior

被引:9
|
作者
Pitombo, Cira [1 ]
Sousa, A. J. [1 ]
Filipe, L. N. [2 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Lisbon TULisbon, Min Engn Dept, Inst Super Tecn, CERENA, P-1200781 Lisbon, Portugal
[2] Tech Univ Lisbon TULisbon, Dept Civil Engn, Inst Super Tecn, CESUR, P-1049001 Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
Travel behavior; combined application of multivariate data analysis techniques; land use; socioeconomic characteristics; ACTIVITY PARTICIPATION; LAND-USE; HOUSEHOLD;
D O I
10.3328/TL.2009.01.04.295-308
中图分类号
U [交通运输];
学科分类号
08 ; 0823 ;
摘要
Through the combined application of Classification and Regression Tree (CART), Principal Components Analysis (PCA) and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) it is expected to obtain numeric vari-ables for the application of the PCA, synthesize the original database and a set of variables, and find relations between the new variables (components) and travel behavior. The analysis was based on the origin-destination home-interview survey carried out by METRO-SP in the Sao Paulo Metropolitan Area, in 1997. After observing the results of CART and PCA applications, the authors suggested a taxonomy in ten components that are: (1) Family head characteristics; (2) High income individuals group; (3) Land use; (4) College students; (5) Spouse - woman; (6) Autonomous workers; (7) Level of education; (8) Services sector workers; (9) Home maintenance workers; (10) Familiar characteris-tics. Through the linear models travel behavior is strongly correlated, as expected, with these components. Family heads tend to make home-work based tours as well as use cars more often for worktrips, high income people are more likely to make motorized trips, land use characteristics mainly influence the travel distance ;sequence, women - spouses are more inclined to do non-work trips and autonomous workers usually make shorter worktrips.
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页码:295 / 308
页数:14
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