Modeling financial markets by self-organized criticality

被引:29
|
作者
Biondo, Alessio Emanuele [1 ]
Pluchino, Alessandro [2 ,3 ]
Rapisarda, Andrea [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Catania, Dipartimento Econ & Impresa, I-95129 Catania, Italy
[2] Univ Catania, Dipartimento Fis & Astron, I-95123 Catania, Italy
[3] Ist Nazl Fis Nucl, Sez Catania, I-95123 Catania, Italy
来源
PHYSICAL REVIEW E | 2015年 / 92卷 / 04期
关键词
BEHAVIOR; EXPECTATIONS; STRATEGIES; AGENTS; CHAOS;
D O I
10.1103/PhysRevE.92.042814
中图分类号
O35 [流体力学]; O53 [等离子体物理学];
学科分类号
070204 ; 080103 ; 080704 ;
摘要
We present a financial market model, characterized by self-organized criticality, that is able to generate endogenously a realistic price dynamics and to reproduce well-known stylized facts. We consider a community of heterogeneous traders, composed by chartists and fundamentalists, and focus on the role of informative pressure on market participants, showing how the spreading of information, based on a realistic imitative behavior, drives contagion and causes market fragility. In this model imitation is not intended as a change in the agent's group of origin, but is referred only to the price formation process. We introduce in the community also a variable number of random traders in order to study their possible beneficial role in stabilizing the market, as found in other studies. Finally, we also suggest some counterintuitive policy strategies able to dampen fluctuations by means of a partial reduction of information.
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页数:9
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