Progress and challenges in short- to medium-range coupled prediction

被引：37

作者：

Brassington, G. B. ^{[1
]}

Martin, M. J. ^{[2
]}

Tolman, H. L. ^{[3
]}

Akella, S. ^{[4
]}

Balmeseda, M. ^{[5
]}

Chambers, C. R. S. ^{[6
]}

Chassignet, E. ^{[7
]}

Cummings, J. A. ^{[8
]}

Drillet, Y. ^{[9
]}

Jansen, P. A. E. M. ^{[5
]}

Laloyaux, P. ^{[5
]}

Lea, D. ^{[2
]}

Mehra, A. ^{[3
]}

Mirouze, I. ^{[2
]}

Ritchie, H. ^{[10
]}

Samson, G. ^{[9
]}

Sandery, P. A. ^{[1
]}

Smith, G. C. ^{[11
]}

Suarez, M. ^{[4
]}

Todling, R. ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] Australian Bur Meteorol, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

[2] UK Met Off, Exeter, Devon, England

[3] NOAA, Environm Modeling Ctr, NCEP, Bethesda, MD USA

[4] NASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, Bethesda, MD USA

[5] ECMWF, Reading, Berks, England

[6] Univ Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

[7] Florida State Univ, COAPS, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA

[8] NRL, Monterey, CA USA

[9] Mercator Ocean, Toulouse, France

[10] Environm Canada, Dartmouth, NS, Canada

[11] Environm Canada, Dorval, PQ, Canada

来源：

JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY | 2015年 / 8卷

关键词：

SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE; OCEAN INTERACTION; SYSTEM; CLIMATE; ASSIMILATION; MODEL; SIMULATIONS; GODAE; INITIALIZATION; WEATHER;

D O I：

10.1080/1755876X.2015.1049875

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

The availability of GODAE Oceanview-type ocean forecast systems provides the opportunity to develop high-resolution, short-to medium-range coupled prediction systems. Several groups have undertaken the first experiments based on relatively unsophisticated approaches. Progress is being driven at the institutional level targeting a range of applications that represent their respective national interests with clear overlaps and opportunities for information exchange and collaboration. The applications include forecasting of the general circulation, hurricanes, extra-tropical storms, high-latitude weather and coastal air-sea interaction. In some cases, research has moved beyond case and sensitivity studies to controlled experiments to obtain statistically significant metrics and operational predictions.

引用

页码：S239 / S258

页数：20

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