Forecast of Stock Price Volatility Based on the Multi-Fractal Spectrum Analysis

被引:0
|
作者
Yang, Tianqi [1 ]
Deng, Jiaxing [1 ]
机构
[1] Jinan Univ, Guangzhou 510632, Guangdong, Peoples R China
关键词
multi-fractal spectrum; Financial time series; Forecast;
D O I
10.1109/WCICA.2008.4594368
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
This paper mainly employs multi-fractal spectrum theory to study the time series of stock price fluctuations law. First, multi-fractal analysis on the stock market of China prove that stock price fluctuations obey multi-fractal random walk, and then research on the Multi-spectrum characteristics change before and after the continued strong fluctuations time sequence of stock prices through empirical analysis. Then, study the relationship between the Multi-spectrum parameters and price changes in the time series, thus proving that Multi-spectrum parameters has some predictive capability. Finally construct the stock price volatility forecast model, the clustering forecast on the Multi-spectrum parameters access to the higher accuracy forecast results, It show out a new research method on the stock price forecasting..
引用
收藏
页码:9100 / 9104
页数:5
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