Loss aversion, presidential responsibility, and midterm congressional elections

被引：20
|
作者：
Patty, John W. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Harvard Univ, Inst Quantitat Social Sci, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[2] Harvard Univ, Dept Govt, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
来源：
ELECTORAL STUDIES | 2006年 / 25卷 / 02期
基金：
美国安德鲁·梅隆基金会;
关键词：
midterm elections; congressional elections; voting; prospect theory; loss aversion;
D O I：
10.1016/j.electstud.2005.05.004
中图分类号：
D0 [政治学、政治理论];
学科分类号：
0302 ; 030201 ;
摘要：
I explore a behavioral model of political participation, first introduced by Quattrone, G., Tversky, A. [1988. Contrasting rational and psychological analyses of political choice. American Political Science Review 82 (3), 719-736.], based on the primitives of prospect theory, as defined by Kahneman, D., Tversky, A. [1979. Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica 47, 263-291.]. The model offers an alternative explanation for why the President's party tends to lose seats in midterm congressional elections. The model is examined empirically and compared against competing explanations for the "midterm phenomenon". (c) 2005 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
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页码：227 / 247
页数：21
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