population dynamics;
epidemic;
discrete-time;
cellular automaton;
D O I:
10.1016/j.physa.2003.12.035
中图分类号:
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号:
0702 ;
摘要:
We investigate possible extensions of the susceptible-infective-removed (SIR) epidemic model. We show that there exists a large class of functions representing interaction between the susceptible and infective populations for which the model has a realistic behaviour and preserves the essential features of the classical SIR model. We also present a new discretisation of the SIR model which has the advantage of possessing a conserved quantity, thus making possible the estimation of the non-infected population at the end of the epidemic. A cellular automaton SIR is also constructed on the basis of the discrete-time system. (C) 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机构:
Univ Western Australia, Dept Math & Stat, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, AustraliaUniv Western Australia, Dept Math & Stat, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia
机构:
Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic Univ IMSIU, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, Riyadh 11623, Saudi ArabiaImam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic Univ IMSIU, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Riyadh 11623, Saudi Arabia
Bougouffa, Smail
Khanfer, Ammar
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机构:
Prince Sultan Univ, Dept Math & Sci, Riyadh 11586, Saudi ArabiaImam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic Univ IMSIU, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Riyadh 11623, Saudi Arabia