Spatial Analysis on Regional Convergence at County Level in China

The paper judges China's regional economic growth convergence and analyzes its time-space pattern in 1998-2009 from the county scale with spatial Markov chain statistics method. The research results show that the stability of convergence clubs is featured by belt differentiation, and expressed as being the most stable in the east and the most instable in the middle part; the transition of convergence club is obviously affected by neighborhood environment. In case a region is neighboring to a high-level developed county or city, this region will have a greatly increased probability of growth, and on the contrast, the probability will be decreased; and the convergence clubs in city group areas are stable, while the transition of type is obvious in surrounding areas.