Multifactor Prediction of the Water Richness of Coal Roof Aquifers Based on the Combination Weighting Method and TOPSIS Model: A Case Study in the Changcheng No. 1 Coal Mine

Identifying the water richness of coal roof aquifers is an important and difficult goal of hydrogeological research to prevent and control roof water disasters. To evaluate the water richness of roof sandstone aquifers of the No. 1 coal seam in the Changcheng No. 1 coal mine, a multifactor prediction method based on the fuzzy Delphi analytic hierarchy process (FDAHP), entropy weight method (EWM), sum of squared deviations (SSD), and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) was proposed. Multisource geological data, including sandstone thickness, burial depth, lithological composition index, core recovery, fault scale index, fault intersections and endpoint density, and fold fractal dimension, were chosen as the primary indicators for evaluating the water richness of roof sandstone aquifers. The FDAHP and EWM were used to scientifically determine the subjective and objective weight vectors of these seven main factors, and the SSD was used to determine the optimal combination weights based on the objective and subjective weight vectors. On this basis, the water richness index (WRI) model was developed using the TOPSIS method to rank the water richness of samples in the study area. A water richness zoning map was created using the WRI values, revealing three zones: the weak water richness zone, moderate water richness zone, and strong water richness zone. Additionally, the map was refined by incorporating hydrogeologic data collected during mining operations, including pumping tests and actual water inrushes from roadways and working faces. It is believed that the proposed WRI model is effective for predicting the water richness of the roof sandstone aquifers of the No. 1 coal seam in the Changcheng No. 1 coal mine based on the engineering practice data used to validate the WRI model.