Economics of information security investment in the case of concurrent heterogeneous attacks with budget constraints

In this study we develop an analytic model for information security investment allocation of a fixed budget. Our model considers concurrent heterogeneous attacks with distinct characteristics and derives the breach probability functions based on the theory of scale-free networks. The relationships among the major variables, such as network exposure, potential loss due to a security breach, investment effectiveness, and security investment levels, are investigated via analytical and numerical analyses subject to various boundary conditions. In particular, our model shows how a firm should allocate its limited information security budget to defend against two classes of security attacks (targeted and opportunistic) concurrently. Among the results of these analyses, we find that a firm with a limited security budget is better off allocating most or all of the investment to measures against one of the classes of attack. Further, we find that managers should focus the security investment on preventing targeted attacks when the information systems are highly connected and relatively open and when the potential loss is large relative to the security budget. (c) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.