What Is the Social Value of Second Generation Biofuels?

被引:2
|
作者
Hertel, Thomas W. [1 ,4 ]
Steinbuks, Jevgenijs [2 ]
Tyner, Wallace E. [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Purdue Univ, Ctr Global Trade Anal, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
[2] World Bank, Dev Res Grp, W Lafayette, IN USA
[3] Purdue Univ, Dept Agr Econ, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
[4] Purdue Climate Change Res Ctr, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Global land use; biofuels; climate policy; climate impacts; energy prices; LAND-USE; CLIMATE;
D O I
10.1093/aepp/ppv027
中图分类号
F3 [农业经济];
学科分类号
0202 ; 020205 ; 1203 ;
摘要
What are second-generation (2G) biofuel technologies worth to global society? A dynamic, economic model is used to assess the impact that introducing 2G biofuels technology has on crops, livestock, biofuels, forestry, and environmental services, as well as greenhouse gas emissions. Under baseline conditions, this amounts to $64 billion and is $84 billion under the optimistic technology case, suggesting that investing in 2G technology could be appropriate. Under greenhouse gas regulation, global valuation more than doubles to $139 and $174 billion, respectively. A flat energy price scenario eliminates the value of 2G technology to society.
引用
收藏
页码:599 / 617
页数:19
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