What can we learn about news shocks from the late 1990s and early 2000s boom-bust period?

被引:21
|
作者
Ben Zeev, Nadav [1 ]
机构
[1] Ben Gurion Univ Negev, Dept Econ, POB 653, IL-84105 Beer Sheva, Israel
来源
关键词
Business cycles; Investment-specific technology; News shocks; Boom-bust period; US BUSINESS CYCLES; TECHNOLOGY SHOCKS; MONETARY-POLICY; SIGN RESTRICTIONS; INVESTMENT; INFORMATION; OUTPUT; VARS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jedc.2017.12.003
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The major boom-bust period of 1997-2003 is commonly viewed as an expectations-driven episode in which overly optimistic expectations about information and communications technology were followed by their downward revision. This paper employs a novel approach to identifying the news shocks of this period that restricts the identified shock to have its maximal three-year moving average of realizations in the 1997-1999 boom period, followed by a negative average in the bust period. I provide robust evidence that this shock raises output, hours, investment, and consumption, and accounts for the majority of their business cycle variation. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:94 / 105
页数:12
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