An integrated and transferable climate change vulnerability assessment for regional application

被引:21
|
作者
Holsten, Anne [1 ]
Kropp, Juergen P. [1 ]
机构
[1] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, RD Climate Impacts & Vulnerabil 2, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany
关键词
Impact assessment; Global warming; Extreme event; WATER-LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS; ADAPTIVE CAPACITY; UNCERTAINTY; DIVERSITY; IMPACTS; ENGLISH; SCIENCE; GERMANY; LAKES; LAND;
D O I
10.1007/s11069-012-0147-z
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
While sectoral vulnerability assessments have become common usage in the climate change field, integrated and transferable approaches are still rare. However, comprehensive knowledge is demanded to concretize and prioritize adaptation strategies, which are currently being drafted at national and state levels. We present a multisectoral analysis where sensitivity is quantified by the physical, social, environmental and economic dimension by means of tailor-made approaches for specific sectors. These are directly related to relevant exposure variables defined as relative climatic changes until the end of this century. Aggregation of the sector-specific impacts, comprising both sensitivity and exposure, leads to integrated impact measures. These are then combined with the generic adaptive capacity. We exemplify our methodology for municipalities in the German state North Rhine-Westphalia for two regional climate models. Our approach allows for the integrated assessment, while at the same time enabling a sector-specific perspective. However, various limitations remain, especially regarding the aggregation across sectors. We emphasize the need to consider the aim and methodological advantages and disadvantages before applying any vulnerability assessment.
引用
收藏
页码:1977 / 1999
页数:23
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] An integrated and transferable climate change vulnerability assessment for regional application
    Anne Holsten
    Jürgen P. Kropp
    [J]. Natural Hazards, 2012, 64 : 1977 - 1999
  • [2] Integrated regional vulnerability assessment of government services to climate change
    Jacobs, Brent C.
    Lee, Christopher
    O'Toole, David
    Vines, Katie
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES AND MANAGEMENT, 2014, 6 (03) : 272 - 295
  • [3] The regional impacts of climate change: An assessment of vulnerability.
    Simonsen, SG
    [J]. JOURNAL OF PEACE RESEARCH, 2001, 38 (05) : 651 - 651
  • [4] An assessment of regional vulnerability of rice to climate change in India
    Naresh Kumar Soora
    P. K. Aggarwal
    Rani Saxena
    Swaroopa Rani
    Surabhi Jain
    Nitin Chauhan
    [J]. Climatic Change, 2013, 118 : 683 - 699
  • [5] An assessment of regional vulnerability of rice to climate change in India
    Soora, Naresh Kumar
    Aggarwal, P. K.
    Saxena, Rani
    Rani, Swaroopa
    Jain, Surabhi
    Chauhan, Nitin
    [J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2013, 118 (3-4) : 683 - 699
  • [6] Climate change and coastal vulnerability assessment: scenarios for integrated assessment
    Robert J. Nicholls
    Poh Poh Wong
    Virginia Burkett
    Colin D. Woodroffe
    John Hay
    [J]. Sustainability Science, 2008, 3 : 89 - 102
  • [7] Climate change and coastal vulnerability assessment: scenarios for integrated assessment
    Nicholls, Robert J.
    Wong, Poh Poh
    Burkett, Virginia
    Woodroffe, Colin D.
    Hay, John
    [J]. SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE, 2008, 3 (01) : 89 - 102
  • [8] Integrated Regional Assessment of Global Climate Change
    Nelson, Erik
    John, DeWitt
    [J]. JOURNAL OF REGIONAL SCIENCE, 2011, 51 (03) : 642 - 643
  • [10] China's regional assessment of renewable energy vulnerability to climate change
    Wang, Bing
    Ke, Ruo-Yu
    Yuan, Xiao-Chen
    Wei, Yi-Ming
    [J]. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2014, 40 : 185 - 195