Parimutuel betting on the eSports duels: Evidence of the reverse favourite-longshot bias

被引:3
|
作者
Dagaev, Dmitry [1 ]
Stoyan, Egor [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] HSE Univ, Moscow, Russia
[2] New Econ Sch, Moscow, Russia
关键词
Reverse favourite-longshot bias; Market inefficiency; eSports; Betting; MARKET-EFFICIENCY; INFORMATION; LEAGUE;
D O I
10.1016/j.joep.2020.102305
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We analyse betting behaviour patterns of the visitors of the specialized betting website dedicated to the popular eSports game Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. The reverse favourite-longshot bias is found, which is rather unusual for parimutuel betting markets, where favourite-longshot bias is more common. We define simple betting strategies based on the bets on underdogs and show that these strategies make a sufficiently large positive profit both on the in-sample and out-of-sample datasets, which is a sign of market inefficiency. In matches with popular underdogs, the sentiment bias decreases the market inefficiency caused by the reverse favourite-longshot bias. At the same time, the role of the geographical location of teams in the reverse favourite-longshot bias is only marginal.
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页数:14
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