A realistic pathway for coal-fired power in China from 2020 to 2030

被引：31

作者：

Zhang, Wenhua ^{[1
]}

Yan, Qingyou ^{[1
,2
]}

Yuan, Jiahai ^{[1
,2
]}

He, Gang ^{[3
]}

Teng, Tian-Lih ^{[3
]}

Zhang, Meijuan ^{[1
]}

Zeng, Ying ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China

[2] North China Elect Power Univ, Beijing Key Lab New Energy & Low Carbon Dev, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China

[3] SUNY Stony Brook, Coll Engn & Appl Sci, Dept Technol & Soc, Stony Brook, NY 11790 USA

[4] State Grid Sichuan Elect Power Co, State Grid Mianyang Elect Power Co, Mianyang 621000, Sichuan, Peoples R China

来源：

JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION | 2020年 / 275卷

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Coal-fired power; Reasonable capacity; China;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122859

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

While long-term coal transition is clear, the short and medium-term coal-fired power development in China is more uncertain. Therefore, the development pathways of coal-fired power in China after 2020 were widely discussed. Based on the unit-based coal-fired power data, this paper explored the optimized pathway of China's coal-fired power from 2020 to 2030 at the provincial level. Considering national development goals, interprovincial transmissions, and other physical limits in power planning, our model integrated the supply and demand side to assess a reasonable capacity of coal-fired power in 2030. The results and robust analysis indicate that China's coal-fired power capacity in 2030 may stay around 1100 GW. Furthermore, future policies and regulations to deliver this pathway are also proposed. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页数：8

共 50 条

[1] Is China returning to coal-fired power?
Heubl, Ben
[J]. Engineering and Technology, 2019, 14 (04): : 20 - 23
[2] Current Emissions and Future Mitigation Pathways of Coal-Fired Power Plants in China from 2010 to 2030
Tong, Dan
Zhang, Qiang
Liu, Fei
Geng, Guannan
Zheng, Yixuan
Xue, Tao
Hong, Chaopeng
Wu, Ruili
Qin, Yu
Zhao, Hongyan
Yang, Liu
He, Kebin
[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY, 2018, 52 (21) : 12905 - 12914
[3] The substitution of wind power for coal-fired power to realize China's CO2 emissions reduction targets in 2020 and 2030
Zhao, Xiaoli
Cai, Qiong
Zhang, Sufang
Luo, Kaiyan
[J]. ENERGY, 2017, 120 : 164 - 178
[4] Mercury emission from coal-fired power plants in China
Yin, Libao
Zhuo, Yuqun
Xu, Qisheng
Zhu, Zhenwu
Du, Wen
An, Zhongyi
[J]. Yin, L. (yinlibao@gddky.csg.cn), 1600, Chinese Society for Electrical Engineering (33): : 1 - 9
[5] Estimating Hg emissions from coal-fired power stations in China
Niksa, Stephen
Fujiwara, Naoki
[J]. FUEL, 2009, 88 (01) : 214 - 217
[6] Utilization of fly ash from coal-fired power plants in China
Cao, Da-zuo
Selic, Eva
Herbell, Jan-Dirk
[J]. JOURNAL OF ZHEJIANG UNIVERSITY-SCIENCE A, 2008, 9 (05): : 681 - 687
[7] Utilization of fly ash from coal-fired power plants in China
Eva SELIC
Jan-Dirk HERBELL
[J]. Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering), 2008, (05) : 681 - 687
[8] Utilization of fly ash from coal-fired power plants in China
Da-zuo Cao
Eva Selic
Jan-Dirk Herbell
[J]. Journal of Zhejiang University-SCIENCE A, 2008, 9 : 681 - 687
[9] Mercury emissions from six coal-fired power plants in China
Zhang, Liang
Zhuo, Yuqun
Chen, Lei
Xu, Xuchang
Chen, Changhe
[J]. FUEL PROCESSING TECHNOLOGY, 2008, 89 (11) : 1033 - 1040
[10] Research on Decarbonization Pathway of China's Coal-Fired Power Industry From the Perspective of Conflict Mediation
Fang, Yinhai
Xu, Haiyan
[J]. FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE, 2022, 10

← 1 2 3 4 5 →