Bootstrapping empirical distribution functions of residuals from autoregressive model fitting

被引:2
|
作者
Kulperger, RJ [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV WESTERN ONTARIO, DEPT STAT & ACTUARIAL SCI, LONDON, ON N6A 5B9, CANADA
关键词
D O I
10.1080/03610919608813335
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
X = {X(i)} is a stationary autoregressive model of order p. Data X(i), i = -p + 1, -p + 2,..., n is collected, and r(i,n) are the residuals after model fitting. F-n(x) is the empirical distribution function of the residuals. Suppose the innovations sequence has distribution F, bounded density f and four finite moments. Under these conditions the process root n(F-n(F-1(t)) - t) converges weakly to a Gaussian process, which depends on the density f. The limit process is not distribution free. Bootstrapping an AR process from the raw EDF does not work. A method of estimating quantiles, based on a smoothed EDF bootstrap, is considered. A numerical study of the method is made.
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页码:657 / 670
页数:14
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