Climate change impacts and adaptation options for water and food in Pakistan: scenario analysis using an integrated global water and food projections model

被引：27

作者：

Zhu, Tingju ^{[1
]}

Ringler, Claudia ^{[1
]}

Iqbal, M. Mohsin ^{[2
]}

Sulser, Timothy B. ^{[3
]}

Goheer, M. Arif ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Int Food Policy Res Inst, Environm & Prod Technol Div, Washington, DC 20036 USA

[2] Global Change Impact Studies Ctr, Agr Sect, Islamabad, Pakistan

[3] Food & Agr Org United Nations, Markets & Trade Div EST, Rome, Italy

来源：

WATER INTERNATIONAL | 2013年 / 38卷 / 05期

关键词：

agriculture; irrigation; climate change; food security; Pakistan; WHEAT PRODUCTION; INDUS BASIN; RESOURCES;

D O I：

10.1080/02508060.2013.830682

中图分类号：

TU [建筑科学];

学科分类号：

0813 ;

摘要：

Climate change is expected to considerably affect the water resources in the Indus River basin in Pakistan and thus agricultural production in the country. This article reports an analysis of the impacts of various climate scenarios on both water resources and food production out to 2050. While changes in water availability range from -12% to +24%, depending on the scenario, crop yield and production impacts are negative across all scenarios, and net food imports increase. We suggest a combination of accelerated investment in agricultural research and increased water-use efficiency in agriculture to reduce the adverse impacts of climate change on water and food.

引用

页码：651 / 669

页数：19

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