The Trend Forecast Based on the ARMA Model of Urban Residents Per Capita Disposable Income in Shandong Province

被引：0

作者：

Wang Jingbo ^{[1
]}

Li Peizhe ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Shandong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Finance & Econ, Jinan 250031, Shandong, Peoples R China

来源：

SOFT POWER STUDY FROM CULTURE, EDUCATION AND SOCIAL SYSTEM PERSPECTIVE | 2012年

关键词：

ARMA Model; Urban Disposable Income; Time Series; Forecast;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

This paper tested the stationary and inter and partial correlation coefficients of the the 1979-2011 urban residents per capita disposable income time series of Shandong Province. It established the ARMA (1, 2) model, using the SC guidelines to determine the order. Then it determined the model parameters and tested the errors of residuals and found that the model met all forecast requirements. Using this model, the paper predicted the per capita disposable income of urban residents in Shandong Province for the 2012-2014 forecast period; results showed that the average absolute error rate was low and urban residents per capita disposable income will continue to grow.

引用

页码：583 / 588

页数：6

共 24 条

[1] Optimal Model of Forecasting the Per Capita Disposable Income of Urban Residents
Chen, Zhongwen
[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2016 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY APPLICATIONS (ICCITA), 2016, 53 : 239 - 242
[2] Per Capita Disposable Income of China's Urban Residents
[J]. China Population Today, 1998, (Z2) : 30 - 30
[3] Application of Time Series Based Prediction Model to Forecast Per Capita Disposable Income
Sena, Debasish
Nagwani, Naresh Kumar
[J]. 2015 IEEE INTERNATIONAL ADVANCE COMPUTING CONFERENCE (IACC), 2015, : 454 - 457
[4] Study on the relationship between per capita tourism expenditure and disposable income of urban residents - Empirical analysis based on VAR model
Zong, Cui-Li
Wang, Lei
[J]. JOURNAL OF INTERDISCIPLINARY MATHEMATICS, 2018, 21 (05) : 1333 - 1338
[5] Per Capita Monthly Income of Urban and Rural Residents
$$$$
[J]. China Population Today, 1996, (04) : 9 - 9
[6] Research on the Income Gap between Urban and Rural Areas in Shandong Province Based on ARMA Model
Yan Feng
Zhu Konglai
[J]. RECENT ADVANCE IN STATISTICS APPLICATION AND RELATED AREAS, VOLS I AND II, 2009, : 1742 - 1750
[7] ARMA Model Based on Consumption Level of the Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents in Shandong Province Prediction
Wang Yijun
[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 23RD INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS ANNUAL CONFERENCE (2016), BKS ONE AND TWO, 2016, : 557 - 562
[8] Optimization Models of Predicting the Per Capita Income of Urban Residents
Rao, Congjun
[J]. INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY APPLICATIONS IN INDUSTRY II, PTS 1-4, 2013, 411-414 : 2589 - 2592
[9] The Impact of Income Gap upon the Consumption of the Urban Residents in Shandong province
Ni Jie
Ding Xiaona
[J]. RECENT ADVANCE IN STATISTICS APPLICATION AND RELATED AREAS, PTS 1 AND 2, 2008, : 1687 - 1691
[10] Farmers' per Capita Net Income Differences Analysis of Shandong Province under Moran's I and LISA
Zhu Konglai
Hao Chunlin
Wang Xibing
[J]. RECENT ADVANCE IN STATISTICS APPLICATION AND RELATED AREAS, VOLS I AND II, 2009, : 544 - 550

← 1 2 3 →