The application of ARIMA model in forecasting population data

被引：6
|
作者：
Dai, Jie [1 ]
Chen, Shuping [1 ]
机构：
[1] Xiamen Univ Technol, Coll Math, Xiamen 361024, Peoples R China
来源：
SECOND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PHYSICS, MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS | 2019年 / 1324卷
关键词：
D O I：
10.1088/1742-6596/1324/1/012100
中图分类号：
O1 [数学];
学科分类号：
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要：
The prediction of population data plays a positive role in adjusting population policy and promoting the development of social, economic and cultural undertakings. In this paper, the population data of Zhejiang Province from 1978 to 2016 are processed and analyzed by using the principle of time series analysis. In order to test the validity of the parameters selected by this model, the population data of Zhejiang Province in 2017 are verified in this paper. The experimental results show that the actual fitting effect of the model is good. Finally, with the help of SAS software, the population data of Zhejiang Province from 2018 to 2022 are analyzed and forecasted.
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页数：9
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