An empirical model of the Brazilian country risk - an extension of the beta country risk model

被引:11
|
作者
Andrade, Joaquim [1 ]
Teles, Vladimir K.
机构
[1] Univ Brasilia, Dept Econ, Brasilia, DF, Brazil
[2] Fdn Getulio Vargas, Escola Econ Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
关键词
D O I
10.1080/00036840500426843
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper develops a statistical model to study the Brazilian country risk using a country beta model in the spirit of Harvey and Zhou (1993), Erb et al. (1996a, b) and Gangemi et al. (2000). Specifically, the impact of macroeconomic variables is analysed using a time-varying parameter approach. An extension of the original model is applied in order to verify the parameters' stability over time. It is found that monetary policy had a significant and stable impact on Brazil's country risk and international reserves presented a significant impact only during the fixed exchange rate period.
引用
收藏
页码:1271 / 1278
页数:8
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