A new parametric bias correction method for precipitation with an extension for extreme values is compared to an empirical and an existing parametric method. The bias corrections are applied to the regional climate model COSMO-CLM (consortium for small-scale modelling - climate limited area modelling) with a resolution of 4.5 km for the time periods 1991-2000 and 2091-2100. In addition to a comparison in a cross-validation framework, a focus is laid on the investigation of extreme value correction and the effect of the bias correction on the climate change signal. According to the statistical methods used in this study, it was found that the empirical method outperforms both parametric alternatives. However, due to the limited length of the available time series, some outliers occurred, and all methods had problems correcting extreme values. The climate change signal is moderately influenced by all three methods, and the power of climate change detection is reduced. The largest effect was found for the number of dry days and the mean daily intensity, which are considerably altered after correction.
机构:
Tel Aviv Univ, Sch Geosci, Dept Geosci, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
Tel Aviv Univ, Porter Sch Environm Studies, Sch Geosci, Tel Aviv, Israel
Tel Aviv Univ, Dept Geog & Human Environm, Sch Geosci, Tel Aviv, IsraelTel Aviv Univ, Sch Geosci, Dept Geosci, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
Hochman, Assaf
Mercogliano, Paola
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CMCC Euromediterranean Ctr Climate Change, Capua, Italy
CIRA Centro Italiano Ric Aerospaziali, Capua, ItalyTel Aviv Univ, Sch Geosci, Dept Geosci, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
Mercogliano, Paola
Alpert, Pinhas
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Tel Aviv Univ, Sch Geosci, Dept Geosci, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, IsraelTel Aviv Univ, Sch Geosci, Dept Geosci, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
Alpert, Pinhas
Saaroni, Hadas
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Tel Aviv Univ, Dept Geog & Human Environm, Sch Geosci, Tel Aviv, IsraelTel Aviv Univ, Sch Geosci, Dept Geosci, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
Saaroni, Hadas
Bucchignani, Edoardo
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CMCC Euromediterranean Ctr Climate Change, Capua, Italy
CIRA Centro Italiano Ric Aerospaziali, Capua, ItalyTel Aviv Univ, Sch Geosci, Dept Geosci, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
机构:
Univ Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, CameroonUniv Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Fotso-Kamga, Gabriel
Fotso-Nguemo, Thierry C.
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Univ Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Natl Inst Cartog, CCRL, Yaounde, CameroonUniv Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Fotso-Nguemo, Thierry C.
Diallo, Ismaila
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Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Geog, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USAUniv Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Diallo, Ismaila
Yepdo, Zephirin D.
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Univ Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Natl Inst Cartog, CCRL, Yaounde, CameroonUniv Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Yepdo, Zephirin D.
Pokam, Wilfried M.
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Univ Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Inst Rech Dev, Lab Mixte Int Dynam Ecosyst Continentaux Afrique, Yaounde, Cameroon
Univ Yaounde I, Higher Teacher Training Coll, Dept Phys, Yaounde, CameroonUniv Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Pokam, Wilfried M.
Vondou, Derbetini A.
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Univ Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Inst Rech Dev, Lab Mixte Int Dynam Ecosyst Continentaux Afrique, Yaounde, CameroonUniv Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
Vondou, Derbetini A.
Lenouo, Andre
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Univ Douala, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, Douala, CameroonUniv Yaounde I, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, LEMAP, POB 812, Yaounde, Cameroon
机构:
Free Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, GermanyFree Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, Germany
Fallah, Bijan
Russo, Emmanuele
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Free Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, GermanyFree Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, Germany
Russo, Emmanuele
Acevedo, Walter
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Deutscher Wetterdienst, Frankfurt, GermanyFree Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, Germany
Acevedo, Walter
Mauri, Achille
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European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Directorate Sustainable Resources D, Bioecon Unit, I-21027 Ispra, VA, ItalyFree Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, Germany
Mauri, Achille
Becker, Nico
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Free Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, GermanyFree Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, Germany
Becker, Nico
Cubasch, Ulrich
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Free Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, GermanyFree Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Carl Heinrich Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, Germany