A new method for short-term traffic flow forecasting based on chaotic time series analysis

被引:0
|
作者
Jiang, HF [1 ]
Wei, XY [1 ]
Zhang, Y [1 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Elect & Informat Engn, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
关键词
short-term traffic flow; adding-weight one-rank local-region; chaotic time series forecasting; chaos;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
On the basis of analysis of the time series of urban short-term traffic flow and the characteristic of chaos, this paper proposes a short-term traffic flow forecasting method through study on chaotic time series forecasting models. This method is based on adding-weight one-rank local-region (AWORLR) model. Weights are introduced and they make this method more adaptive and precise than whole-region methods. The forecasting result of actual short-time traffic flow is satisfying.
引用
收藏
页码:65 / 68
页数:4
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] A multivariate short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on wavelet analysis and seasonal time series
    Hong Zhang
    Xiaoming Wang
    Jie Cao
    Minan Tang
    Yirong Guo
    [J]. Applied Intelligence, 2018, 48 : 3827 - 3838
  • [2] A multivariate short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on wavelet analysis and seasonal time series
    Zhang, Hong
    Wang, Xiaoming
    Cao, Jie
    Tang, Minan
    Guo, Yirong
    [J]. APPLIED INTELLIGENCE, 2018, 48 (10) : 3827 - 3838
  • [3] An applicable short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on chaotic theory
    Hu, JM
    Zong, CG
    Song, JY
    Zhang, Z
    Ren, JT
    [J]. 2003 IEEE INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS PROCEEDINGS, VOLS. 1 & 2, 2003, : 608 - 613
  • [4] Multivariate Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Using Time-Series Analysis
    Ghosh, Bidisha
    Basu, Biswajit
    O'Mahony, Margaret
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS, 2009, 10 (02) : 246 - 254
  • [5] Bayesian time-series model for short-term traffic flow forecasting
    Ghosh, Bidisha
    Basu, Biswajit
    O'Mahony, Margaret
    [J]. JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING, 2007, 133 (03) : 180 - 189
  • [6] Adaptive seasonal time series models for forecasting short-term traffic flow
    Shekhar, Shashank
    Williams, Billy M.
    [J]. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD, 2007, (2024) : 116 - 125
  • [7] An adaptive composite time series forecasting model for short-term traffic flow
    Shao, Qitan
    Piao, Xinglin
    Yao, Xiangyu
    Kong, Yuqiu
    Hu, Yongli
    Yin, Baocai
    Zhang, Yong
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BIG DATA, 2024, 11 (01)
  • [8] A hybrid short-term traffic flow forecasting model based on time series multifractal characteristics
    Zhang, Hong
    Wang, Xiaoming
    Cao, Jie
    Tang, Minan
    Guo, Yirong
    [J]. APPLIED INTELLIGENCE, 2018, 48 (08) : 2429 - 2440
  • [9] CELL-BASED SHORT-TERM TRAFFIC FLOW FORECASTING USING TIME SERIES MODELLING
    Ghosh, Bidisha
    Szeto, W. Y.
    Basu, Biswajit
    O'Mahony, Margaret
    [J]. TRANSPORTATION AND THE ECONOMY, 2005, : 317 - 326
  • [10] A hybrid short-term traffic flow forecasting model based on time series multifractal characteristics
    Hong Zhang
    Xiaoming Wang
    Jie Cao
    Minan Tang
    Yirong Guo
    [J]. Applied Intelligence, 2018, 48 : 2429 - 2440