Mathematically Modelling Cyber-Attacks Utilizing Engineering Techniques

There currently exists a wide array of methods to examine cyber-attacks. Many of those are effective in specific narrow scenarios. These methods allow for analysis and improved understanding of cyber-attacks, but they have limited applicability. What is absent from the literature are two elements. The first element is a broadly applicable method to model and analyse any cyber-attack. The second issue that is absent, is the precise mathematical quantifying of attacks. This paper will be examining methods of modelling cyber-attacks using systems engineering techniques including failure analysis. This allows for a quantitative understanding of the attack. The process will include a variety of failure analysis metrics designed to create a specific scoring for the attacks impact. This also provides a mechanism for improving cyber-resiliency by applying engineering analysis techniques to potential cyber-attacks.