Hurricane-Induced Rainfall is a Stronger Predictor of Tropical Forest Damage in Puerto Rico Than Maximum Wind Speeds

被引：58

作者：

Hall, Jazlynn ^{[1
]}

Muscarella, Robert ^{[2
]}

Quebbeman, Andrew ^{[1
]}

Arellano, Gabriel ^{[3
,4
]}

Thompson, Jill ^{[5
]}

Zimmerman, Jess K. ^{[6
]}

Uriarte, Maria ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Columbia Univ, Dept Ecol Evolut & Environm Biol, New York, NY 10027 USA

[2] Uppsala Univ, Dept Plant Ecol & Evolut, Uppsala, Sweden

[3] Univ Michigan, Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA

[4] Smithsonian Trop Res Inst, ForestGEO, Washington, DC USA

[5] Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Bush Estate, Penicuik EH26 0QB, Midlothian, Scotland

[6] Univ Puerto Rico, Dept Environm Sci, San Juan, PR USA

来源：

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS | 2020年 / 10卷 / 01期

关键词：

LUQUILLO-EXPERIMENTAL-FOREST; TREE MORTALITY; NATURAL DISTURBANCE; CATASTROPHIC WIND; NEW-ENGLAND; WET FOREST; LAND-USE; IMPACTS; GROWTH; LANDSCAPE;

D O I：

10.1038/s41598-020-61164-2

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Projected increases in cyclonic storm intensity under a warming climate will have profound effects on forests, potentially changing these ecosystems from carbon sinks to sources. Forecasting storm impacts on these ecosystems requires consideration of risk factors associated with storm meteorology, landscape structure, and forest attributes. Here we evaluate risk factors associated with damage severity caused by Hurricanes Maria and Irma across Puerto Rican forests. Using field and remote sensing data, total forest aboveground biomass (AGB) lost to the storms was estimated at 10.44 (+/- 2.33) Tg, ca. 23% of island-wide pre-hurricane forest AGB. Storm-related rainfall was a stronger predictor of forest damage than maximum wind speeds. Soil water storage capacity was also an important risk factor, corroborating the influence of rainfall on forest damage. Expected increases of 20% in hurricane-associated rainfall in the North Atlantic highlight the need to consider how such shifts, together with high speed winds, will affect terrestrial ecosystems.

引用

页数：10

共 4 条

[1] Hurricane-Induced Rainfall is a Stronger Predictor of Tropical Forest Damage in Puerto Rico Than Maximum Wind Speeds
Jazlynn Hall
Robert Muscarella
Andrew Quebbeman
Gabriel Arellano
Jill Thompson
Jess K. Zimmerman
María Uriarte
[J]. Scientific Reports, 10
[2] HURRICANE HUGO - DAMAGE TO A TROPICAL RAIN-FOREST IN PUERTO-RICO
BASNET, K
LIKENS, GE
SCATENA, FN
LUGO, AE
[J]. JOURNAL OF TROPICAL ECOLOGY, 1992, 8 : 47 - 55
[3] Changes in Structure, Composition, and Nutrients During 15 Yr of Hurricane-Induced Succession in a Subtropical Wet Forest in Puerto Rico
Scalley, Tamara Heartsill
Scatena, Fred N.
Lugo, Ariel E.
Moya, Samuel
Ruiz, Carlos R. Estrada
[J]. BIOTROPICA, 2010, 42 (04) : 455 - 463
[4] Surface Pressure a More Skillful Predictor of Normalized Hurricane Damage than Maximum Sustained Wind
Klotzbach, Philip J.
Bell, Michael M.
Bowen, Steven G.
Gibney, Ethan J.
Knapp, Kenneth R.
Schreck, Carl J., III
[J]. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2020, 101 (06) : E830 - E846

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