Enhancement of the probability of occurrence for off-shore wind farm power forecast

被引:1
|
作者
Eping, Christiane [1 ]
Voelskow, Michael [2 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Darmstadt, Inst Elect Energy Syst, Darmstadt, Germany
[2] Tech Univ Darmstadt, Darmstadt, Germany
关键词
wind energy; offshore wind farm; power forecast; forecast error; safety margin; electricity production costs;
D O I
10.1109/PCT.2007.4538386
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
The paper presents a method for giving a reliable statement of power produced by a wind farm. The method is based on the forecast of the wind conditions for a defined time period and derives from this the possible power output This possible power output is calculated by removing a safety margin from the forecast In an economic consideration, the influence of the safety margin on the electricity production costs will be calculated. Furthermore the profitability of the wind farms will be compared to conventional power plants.
引用
收藏
页码:610 / +
页数:2
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